The Warsaw Security Forum, held annually in the capital of Poland, began this year under special and tense conditions. In this four-star hotel, prominent political figures and civil society representatives from both sides of the Atlantic gathered to discuss European security and international relations. While this forum is usually calm and unaware of global tensions, this year the air raid siren in Warsaw was tested, indicating that the situation is highly volatile.
New Agreements and Challenges
Donald Trump, the former President of the United States, had announced just two days before the start of this forum that the U.S. had agreed to purchase diesel from Russia. This agreement, along with a ceasefire in energy between Kyiv and Moscow, was supposed to create a new space for dialogue. However, in practice, Russia continued its attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure, raising serious concerns.
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It seems that Ukrainian officials at this forum faced a threat from the U.S. regarding the cutting off of access to intelligence information. According to reports, the United States has decided to limit military information to Ukraine, which did not receive attention from the participants. In this situation, Zelensky, the President of Ukraine, expressed dissatisfaction with the lack of necessary warnings from his partners.
Changes in U.S. Approach
Interestingly, none of the American participants at this forum mentioned the sudden change in U.S. policy towards Russia. Instead, many speakers emphasized the courage and resilience of the Ukrainian people and called for increased support for the country. Kurt Volker, former Trump envoy to Ukraine, stressed that Ukraine must continue to take actions in which it excels.
These changes in U.S. policy and the disregard for the challenges facing Ukraine were topics discussed on the sidelines of the forum. Meanwhile, Andriy Sybiha, Ukraine's Foreign Minister, referred to a strategic mistake in signing an agreement with Russia and stated that Ukrainians are paying a heavy price for this mistake.
Ultimately, the most important program of this forum was the speech by General Alexis Greenkiewicz, the Supreme Commander of NATO forces in Europe. He unveiled a theory called the "Victory Theory," which asserts that NATO is prepared to counter any attack. This theory emphasizes three principles: stopping the initial attack, weakening the enemy's advance, and breaking the opponent's war system.
In this context, the main question at this meeting was how quickly NATO would decide to assist the Baltic countries if Russia attacked them, and whether it could respond in time. These questions remained in the atmosphere of the Warsaw Security Forum, highlighting serious challenges ahead for European security.
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