The government of Donald Trump, the President of the United States, has been examining military options against Iran, and there are signs that military strikes may begin before the U.S. midterm elections and the Israeli elections. This comes at a time when Iran is facing economic difficulties, and according to reports, the U.S. has gained control over the Strait of Hormuz and is contributing to the collapse of Iran's economy.
Increasing Tensions and Their Consequences
According to credible sources, if military operations resume, these strikes are expected to include extensive bombing of Iran's energy, infrastructure, and nuclear targets. This action could have profound consequences for the global oil market and drive up prices. A Pentagon official stated that the Defense Department's duty is to develop military options for the President, and he has all options available at any time.
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Analysis of National Security Meetings
Trump's National Security team recently met at Camp David to discuss the war and other issues. Part of this meeting was dedicated to examining the possibility of resuming military operations in Iran. Marco Rubio, the U.S. Secretary of State, referred to long-term planning in foreign policy after this meeting. Meanwhile, negotiations between the U.S. and Iran have made no progress, and Qatari mediators are still waiting for Iran's response to the U.S.'s reciprocal proposals.
In this context, Israeli officials have also discussed the possibility of resuming extensive combat operations in Iran. One Israeli official considers this likelihood low before the elections, but afterwards, the chances of it occurring will significantly increase. This comes as Benjamin Netanyahu, the Prime Minister of Israel, recently discussed memorializing and honoring the victims of the October 7 massacre with Trump.
The Consequences of War on Political Futures
If military operations are resumed, the U.S. and Israel are likely to act in coordination, and the Israeli army will also participate in these operations. These tensions could impact the Israeli elections, as Iran is likely to respond to these strikes and may launch hundreds of ballistic missiles towards Israel. Such a situation could politically benefit Netanyahu and prevent attacks from his opponents in the final weeks of the election campaign.
Overall, the current situation in the Middle East, especially considering the increasing tensions between the U.S. and Iran, has created an uncertain environment that could affect the domestic and foreign policies of both countries.
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