Germany is currently facing a historic transformation in its military power that could significantly change the balance of power in Europe. The rapid rearmament of this country has raised concerns among its neighbors and has revived historical discussions about Germany's military power.
The Rise of the Far-Right Party and Its Consequences
Concerns have particularly increased with the leading position of the far-right party 'Alternative for Germany' in the polls. This party seeks to end Germany's 'culture of guilt' regarding the crimes of the Nazi era and adopt closer positions to Moscow. Radosław Sikorski, the Polish Foreign Minister, stated in this regard: 'We remember very well where a rearmed Germany in the hands of a far-right and pro-Russian party can lead.'
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Changing the Balance of Power in Europe
Just a few years ago, Germany was criticized for relying on the defense spending of the U.S., France, and the U.K. However, under pressure from Western leaders, Friedrich Merz, the Chancellor of Germany, has decided to allocate more than half a trillion dollars to strengthen the country's armed forces over the next decade. Some European officials are concerned that this trend could not only change the balance of power on the continent but also turn Germany and Russia into two major powers in Europe. According to Łukasz Jasinski, an expert on German-Polish relations, 'This is a revolution and will certainly affect Germany's neighbors, the European Union, and transatlantic relations.'
Meanwhile, the recent electoral victories of the Alternative for Germany in the east of the country have added to these concerns. This party calls for Germany's exit from the European Union and the resumption of energy purchases from Russia. Additionally, some of its leaders have seriously questioned the usefulness of NATO. In Poland, there are also concerns that a far-right government in Germany may revive historical territorial claims.
In this context, there are differing opinions on Germany's rearmament. Camille Grand, a former NATO Deputy Secretary-General, considers some concerns to be exaggerated and states that Germany is catching up on its military lag. Wolfgang Ischinger also emphasized that Germany's goal is merely to fulfill NATO and European commitments and that 'the issue is not the resurgence of Germany.'
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